Friday, November 14, 2008

Dawn of the Undead Auto Companies




By David Brooks of The New York Times

Not so long ago, corporate giants with names like PanAm, ITT and Montgomery Ward roamed the earth. They faded and were replaced by new companies with names like Microsoft, Southwest Airlines and Target. The U.S. became famous for this pattern of decay and new growth. Over time, American government built a bigger safety net so workers could survive the vicissitudes of this creative destruction — with unemployment insurance and soon, one hopes, health care security. But the government has generally not interfered in the dynamic process itself, which is the source of the country’s prosperity.

But this, apparently, is about to change. Democrats from Barack Obama to Nancy Pelosi want to grant immortality to General Motors, Chrysler and Ford. They have decided to follow an earlier $25 billion loan with a $50 billion bailout, which would inevitably be followed by more billions later, because if these companies are not permitted to go bankrupt now, they never will be.

This is a different sort of endeavor than the $750 billion bailout of Wall Street. That money was used to save the financial system itself. It was used to save the capital markets on which the process of creative destruction depends.

Granting immortality to Detroit’s Big Three does not enhance creative destruction. It retards it. It crosses a line, a bright line. It is not about saving a system; there will still be cars made and sold in America. It is about saving politically powerful corporations. A Detroit bailout would set a precedent for every single politically connected corporation in America. There already is a long line of lobbyists bidding for federal money. If Detroit gets money, then everyone would have a case. After all, are the employees of Circuit City or the newspaper industry inferior to the employees of Chrysler?

It is all a reminder that the biggest threat to a healthy economy is not the socialists of campaign lore. It’s C.E.O.’s. It’s politically powerful crony capitalists who use their influence to create a stagnant corporate welfare state.

If ever the market has rendered a just verdict, it is the one rendered on G.M. and Chrysler. These companies are not innocent victims of this crisis. To read the expert literature on these companies is to read a long litany of miscalculation. Some experts mention the management blunders, some the union contracts and the legacy costs, some the years of poor car design and some the entrenched corporate cultures.

There seems to be no one who believes the companies are viable without radical change. A federal cash infusion will not infuse wisdom into management. It will not reduce labor costs. It will not attract talented new employees. As Megan McArdle of The Atlantic wittily put it, “Working for the Big Three magically combines vast corporate bureaucracy and job insecurity in one completely unattractive package.”

In short, a bailout will not solve anything — just postpone things. If this goes through, Big Three executives will make decisions knowing that whatever happens, Uncle Sam will bail them out — just like Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. In the meantime, capital that could have gone to successful companies and programs will be directed toward companies with a history of using it badly.

The second part of Obama’s plan is the creation of an auto czar with vague duties. Other smart people have called for such a czar to reorganize the companies and force the companies to fully embrace green technology and other good things.

That would be great, but if Obama was such a fervent believer in the Chinese model of all-powerful technocrats, he should have mentioned it during the campaign. Are we really to believe there exists a czar omniscient, omnipotent and beneficent enough to know how to fix the Big Three? Who is this deity? Are we to believe that political influence will miraculously disappear, that the czar would have absolute power over unions, management, Congress and the White House? Please.

This is an excruciatingly hard call. A case could be made for keeping the Big Three afloat as a jobs program until the economy gets better and then letting them go bankrupt. But the most persuasive experts argue that bankruptcy is the least horrible option. Airline, steel and retail companies have gone through bankruptcy proceedings and adjusted. It would be a less politically tainted process. Government could use that $50 billion — and more — to help the workers who are going to be displaced no matter what.

But the larger principle is over the nature of America’s political system. Is this country going to slide into progressive corporatism, a merger of corporate and federal power that will inevitably stifle competition, empower corporate and federal bureaucrats and protect entrenched interests? Or is the U.S. going to stick with its historic model: Helping workers weather the storms of a dynamic economy, but preserving the dynamism that is the core of the country’s success.

4 comments:

Chronic said...

David Brooks is right, the Democrats and Obama are dead wrong on this one. Let these companies go bankrupt if they can't make a profit. Mismanagement, astounding greed and strong resistance to change gives me absolutely no sympathy for the CEOs of Detroit's Big Three. Let them die.

One of my good friends actually works for Ford Motors, so I dont say that lightly or without consideration. I realize that when these companys fail, there are very serious implications for working Americans there who have done their jobs well.

Brooks is again correct in statiung that we have to draw a BRIGHT red line in the sand and say, here this is it. Detroit saw this crisis coming years ago and has done nothing to change its ways and avert it. How can we reward their irresponsibility with a bailout?

Now the same argument can be leveled against the financial institutions. However, the rest of the entire US (and global) economy depends on those financial institutions working properly. If small businesses cant go deposit their profits in a bank and then borrow more money against those profits, the entire economy could spiral down into a complete collapse.

The same cant be said about the failure of Detroit's Big Three. There will be serious implications, my friend will probably lose his job and suffer hardship, but he can collect unemployment from the government, and he is smart and adaptable enough to find new work quickly, even in this economy.

If only the company he worked for was as smart, agile and adaptable, he wouldnt be finding himself in this mess.

His Noodly Appendage said...

Regretfully, I agree, contingent on our government providing a system to handle this difficult transition.

In theory the financial system bailout makes sense, we should have demanded much tougher terms and taken voting seats. I think it would be possible to restructure the big three but I'm not quite sure Washington is up to that task.

The system of creative destruction Brooks describes is the engine of the modern world. It cannot be allowed to stall. It is critical for us to realize that this is the natural way and to create systems that minimize the inevitable problems for the most vulnerable.

We must seriously look at companies that have become "To Big to Fail" and seriously consider splitting them up. The recent round of mergers have left our economy in a perilous position.

I'm sure this brings no comfort to anyone working at one of these companies. In response I have very little to offer, other than to say I've been laid off three times trying to make it in the rapidly evolving technology industry and have know it sucks. I hope Detroit can attract fresh new jobs from a company who understands the future. If not you can always try Santa Barbra California where Tesla is building their new plant. Trust me, cali > detroit.

Corboo said...

What Brooks and many fail to highlight is the fact that in the automotive category, the quote big 3 are really no longer gm ford and chrysler. They are just the big american three. Toyota having successfully sold more cars in America last year than any other other manufacturer I would argue is one of the big 3. The point I am making is that what we are seeing is Darwinian in the natural selection is basically culling the heard and should eliminate one or even two of the big 3 American automakers. Thy should not get a dime of taxpayer money, simply because the tax payers long ago voted when they started buying imported cars and begin sending the message to Detroit to keep up or close down. I am sorry for the workers who will lose their jobs, but I am not sorry for the scores of greedy people who have clung to their positions at the expense of the American tax payer and whose exit is long over due. This is not just the executive, but it bleeds right down to the assembly line worker who choose more pay and perks over retooling for the future.

Mipam Thurman said...

One of the things that blows my mind about these bailouts is that they violate the economic system of competition that we value in this country.

Setting aside all the lost jobs and all the lost retirement pensions that these bankrupt businesses would cause (which could be a lot of people), why can't the U.S. government buy out these companies through a stock purchase or better yet, purchase products from these companies. I am sure that the government needs to buy cars and also needs to maintain a fleet of vehicles throughout all the states in the union. The reason these companies are failing is because people are not buying the products. What if the U.S. government got some products for state and federal entities in return for their 34 billion dollar infusion of capitol. In this way, the government would not have to worry that these companies would fail in the future and not be able to pay back the taxpayers for the loan we gave them.

I am assuming that the bailout they are talking about now is a loan with low interest? If I am wrong and we are simply giving this money away, never to see it again, then that would really piss me off.

Of importance to the environmental movement, developing a product fulfillment contract with these car companies could go a long ways to making these companies profitable with sustainable energy technologies. Chevy is making a vehicle called the volt, and most of these companies have some type of hybrid already. If the government buys all the available stock of these sustainable cars and then puts in a preorder for more cars, then they would be actively supporting these car companies in retooling more of their factories to pump out these more competitive products. Basically, if I am running a business and I have a preorder for thousands of vehicles at a stated price, which I can count on, then I can go ahead and spend the money retooling my manufacturing line so that I can meet the delivery date listed in my preorder contract.